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Sunday, October 28, 2007


Forty-Five Years in Wall Street by W.D.Gann
"45 Years in Wall Street" was actually Gann's last book, written in 1949 (he issued a revised edition of his commodities book in 1951), in which he presents the final version of his cycles-based system. Since cycles can extend, shorten, invert, and skip, Gann offers several trend-following methods to minimize damage from forecasting mistakes and to keep one on the right side of the markets. His excellent, 24 trading rules afford advice on money management, risk management, trend-following, trade entry, and exit techniques that are currently valid.

Gann always openly hinted that the details for his celebrated forecasting method were concealed in his writings. This book, as is all others written by Gann, is written on two levels. The first level is expository and describes how to swing-trade. The arcana submerged in the second level can be approached by examining the recurrent themes about time, price, and geometry, and the dates which he feels are significant. Details for Gann's time and price model are contained in all of his books and major courses with the exception of "Tunnel Through the Air."

Strangely, the weakest part of this book is the final chapter with Gann's predictions for the early 1950s. Gann felt that 1953 was going to be a year of post-war depression rivalling the great depression of the 1930s. His cycle model indicated a strong down-turn which actually became a cyclical inversion where the market turned sharply upwards - such are the hazards of public forecasting! However, Gann followers should not have lost money during the 1953 inversion, because their swing-trade methods would have self-corrected this forecast error.

Whatever level one chooses to tackle, this book is a worthwhile addition to anyone's trading library.
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